Storm track changes with Fay

Published 9:50 pm Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Tropical Storm Fay could potentially bring much needed rainfall to Chilton County by the beginning of next week, but could possibly be less rain than first expected.

The storm track as of 7 a.m. today brings the center of the storm into southern Alabama in Baldwin County by Sunday morning. That could allow rainfall to spread across most of southern Alabama.

National Weather Service meteorologist Tara Golden said the storm could dump at least two inches of rain.

“It all depends on just where the center of circulation goes and whether the storm will hold together after making landfall,” Golden said. “Most of the storms associated with Fay are on the eastern side of the storm. If the storm tracks more to the south, we could likely see a lot of rainfall.”

As of 7 a.m., Fay was centered about 20 miles east of Daytona, Fla., and almost stationary. A slow motion toward the west-northwest is forecast to begin later today and continue for the next couple of days.

That new track is much further than originally forecast.

Golden added that there is uncertainty about the storm track at this time because the storm projection models are showing disagreement.

“Hopefully, the models will come together so we can have a better idea of where the storm will move,” Golden said.

If the storm does move into the area, the state could receive beneficial rainfall to help with the current drought situation.

“It could certainly bring us enough rainfall to help break the drought,” she added.