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The Belmont Stakes is one of the most prominent races in the U.S. It offers top-tier competition and valuable betting opportunities, drawing attention from casual fans and serious bettors alike. With a deep field, varying odds, and a range of wagering options, knowing how to evaluate the race is key to making smarter bets.

Here’s everything you need to know to bet smart on the 157th running of the Belmont Stakes.

Venue Change

Traditionally held at Belmont Park in Elmont, New York, the Belmont Stakes has long been known for its iconic setting and demanding track. However, the race has been temporarily relocated to Saratoga Race Course for the second consecutive year due to a massive $455 million renovation project at Belmont. The overhaul includes the construction of a modern, state-of-the-art grandstand, infrastructure upgrades, and improvements aimed at transforming the facility into a year-round racing venue. 

 

While the renovations are expected to be completed in time for the 2026 racing season, major events like the Breeders’ Cup are already slated to return to Belmont Park in 2027. In the meantime, Saratoga—one of the country’s most historic and fan-favorite tracks—steps in as host, offering a different environment and adding a unique twist to this year’s Triple Crown finale.

Distance Adjustment

Due to Saratoga’s track configuration, the 2025 Belmont Stakes will be contested over 1 1⁄4 miles (10 furlongs) instead of the traditional 1 1⁄2 miles (12 furlongs). This change aligns Belmont’s distance with that of the Kentucky Derby and Saratoga’s own Travers Stakes. The shorter distance may favor horses with strong early speed and tactical positioning, potentially altering the dynamics of the race and influencing betting strategies.

Key Contenders & Current Odds

Here are the top contenders shaping up for the 2025 Belmont Stakes, along with their current odds and credentials:

Sovereignty (8-5 Favorite)

Trained by Bill Mott, Sovereignty comes into the Belmont as the Kentucky Derby winner and the early betting favorite. Known for tactical brilliance and a strong finishing kick, he skipped the Preakness Stakes to rest and prepare for this race. His recent workouts at Saratoga have been sharp, signaling he’s in top form. Having already defeated a 20-horse Derby field, he enters the Belmont as arguably the most talented and well-positioned runner in the field. If you’re backing Sovereignty to win again, you can Bet at FanDuel to get in on the action.

Journalism (9-5)

Trained by Michael McCarthy, Journalism impressed with a powerful closing run to win the Preakness Stakes. He’s a capable closer with good tactical sense and doesn’t need to come from too far back. However, adapting to Saratoga’s tighter turns and handling quicker early fractions could present a challenge. If the pace sets up favorably, he’s a legitimate threat to win his second Triple Crown race.

Baeza (7-2)

Baeza scored a solid third in the Kentucky Derby, showing consistency and resilience. Bred for a mix of speed and stamina, he can sit just off the pace or press the leaders if needed. While he doesn’t have a win in the Triple Crown series yet, his balanced running style and Derby performance make him a strong contender.

Rodriguez (6-1)

This Bob Baffert-trained colt dominated the Wood Memorial, showing early speed and a strong finishing drive. Baffert’s horses are always dangerous in major races, and Rodriguez’s front-running style could be a key asset on Saratoga’s track. He could be tough to catch if he gets the lead without too much pressure.

Hill Road (10-1)

A lightly raced colt who won the Peter Pan Stakes—a traditional prep for the Belmont—Hill Road is quickly improving. His form suggests untapped potential, and he may appeal to bettors looking for value. With a clean trip and continued progression, he could be the longshot that hits the board or even pulls off a surprise win.

Final Thoughts Before You Bet

The 2025 Belmont Stakes brings a competitive field and strong betting opportunities. Understanding the horses, track conditions, and race setup is essential for making smart wagers. Evaluate contenders based on recent form, running style, and trainer performance. Favorites like Sovereignty are strong on paper, but value plays such as Hill Road shouldn’t be overlooked.

Stick to a clear plan, manage your budget, and rely on research over guesswork. A focused approach gives you the best chance to make the most of race day.

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