Thunder vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 28

Published 5:16 am Friday, February 28, 2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder (47-11) are heavy favorites (-12.5) as they try to build on a three-game road winning streak when they square off against the Atlanta Hawks (27-32) on Friday, February 28, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The matchup airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on FDSSE and FDSOK.

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Thunder vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSOK
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Thunder vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 121 – Hawks 109

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Spread & Total Prediction for Thunder vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 12.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-12.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (242.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 229.8
  • The Hawks (28-31-0 ATS) have covered the spread 60.3% of the time, 12.8% less often than the Thunder (35-23-0) this year.
  • Oklahoma City covers the spread when it is a 12.5-point favorite or more 60% of the time. That’s less often than Atlanta covers as an underdog of 12.5 or more (100%).
  • Oklahoma City’s games have gone over the total 58.6% of the time this season (34 out of 58), which is more often than Atlanta’s games have (34 out of 59).
  • As a moneyline favorite this year, the Thunder are 45-10, while the Hawks are 17-22 as moneyline underdogs.

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Thunder Performance Insights

  • The Thunder have been shining on both offense and defense this season, ranking fourth-best in the NBA in points per game (118.6) and second-best in points allowed per game (106).
  • Oklahoma City is pulling down 44.7 rebounds per game (13th-ranked in league). It is giving up 45.6 rebounds per contest (24th-ranked).
  • This season, the Thunder rank 13th in the league in assists, averaging 26.5 per game.
  • Oklahoma City has been thriving when it comes to turnovers this year, ranking best in the NBA in turnovers per game (11.2) and best in forced turnovers per contest (17.2).
  • The Thunder are eighth in the NBA with 14 threes per game so far this year. Meanwhile, they rank 13th with a 36.1% shooting percentage from three-point land.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • The Hawks are eighth in the NBA in points scored (116.6 per game) and fourth-worst in points allowed (119.2).
  • On the glass, Atlanta is 11th in the NBA in rebounds (44.9 per game). It is 17th in rebounds allowed (44.5 per game).
  • With 29.3 assists per game, the Hawks are second-best in the NBA.
  • In terms of turnovers, Atlanta is 25th in the NBA in committing them (15 per game). It is second-best in forcing them (15.8 per game).
  • Beyond the arc, the Hawks are 16th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (13.1). They are 19th in 3-point percentage at 34.9%.

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