Saturday’s contest between the No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (23-5, 10-5 SEC) and No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide (23-5, 12-3 SEC) at Thompson-Boling Arena is expected to be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 77-76, with Tennessee taking home the win. Tipoff is at 4 p.m. ET on March 1.

Based on our computer prediction, Alabama is projected to cover the point spread (3.5) against Tennessee. The two teams are expected to go under the 155.5 over/under.

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Tennessee vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 4 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
• Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
• Line: Tennessee -3.5
• Point total: 155.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -170, Alabama +140

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Tennessee vs. Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 77, Alabama 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Alabama

• Pick ATS: Alabama (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Under (155.5)

Both Tennessee and Alabama are 16-12-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. The Volunteers are 11-17-0 and the Crimson Tide are 17-11-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams combine to score 165.8 points per game, 10.3 more points than this matchup’s total. Tennessee has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over the last 10 games. Alabama has gone 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers average 74.3 points per game (171st in college basketball) while giving up 60.8 per contest (fifth in college basketball). They have a +380 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 13.5 points per game.
• Tennessee wins the rebound battle by 7.6 boards on average. It records 34.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 59th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 26.9 per outing.
• Tennessee knocks down 8.5 three-pointers per game (95th in college basketball), 1.3 more than its opponents (7.2).
• The Volunteers average 100.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (79th in college basketball), and allow 81.8 points per 100 possessions (fourth in college basketball).
• Tennessee has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 9.9 per game (50th in college basketball play) while forcing 11.2 (201st in college basketball).

Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide are outscoring opponents by 11.4 points per game, with a +319 scoring differential overall. They put up 91.5 points per game (first in college basketball) and give up 80.1 per contest (348th in college basketball).
• Alabama averages 39.8 rebounds per game (second in college basketball) while allowing 32.5 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 7.3 boards per game.
• Alabama hits 10.6 three-pointers per game (11th in college basketball) while shooting 35.0% from beyond the arc (122nd in college basketball). It is making 3.5 more threes than its opponents, who drain 7.1 per game at 29.9%.
• Alabama has lost the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 12.5 (295th in college basketball) while forcing 10.0 (312th in college basketball).

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