NBA Best Bets: Hawks vs. Heat Picks for February 24
Published 3:33 am Monday, February 24, 2025
The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) will attempt to break a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena as just 1.5-point favorites. The contest airs at 7:30 PM ET on FDSSE and FDSSUN.
Our computer predictions in this article will assist you in choosing the best bets available for Monday’s game.
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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info
- When: Monday, February 24, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
- Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
- TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Hawks vs. Heat Best Bets
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Trae Young Over 28.5 PTS
- The 28.5 point total set for Trae Young on Monday is 4.3 more than his season scoring average (24.2).
- Young is 27-for-53 at going over his points prop total this season.
- The Hawks are the NBA’s seventh-ranked scoring squad (117 points per game), while the Heat are eighth in points conceded (110.9 per game).
- Atlanta has a 22-18 record when finishing with more points than 110.9.
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Tyler Herro Over 26.5 PTS
- The 26.5-point over/under for Tyler Herro on Monday is 2.3 higher than his season scoring average.
- Herro has gone over 29 times on a points prop this season (in 53 opportunities).
- Miami’s squad is currently the 24th-ranked scoring team in the NBA (110.1 points per game), while Atlanta is 28th in points conceded (119.6 per game).
- Miami is 9-4 when scoring more points than 119.6.
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Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)
- Against the spread, Atlanta is 27-30-0 this year.
- Miami’s record against the spread is 25-30-0.
- As 1.5-point favorites or more, the Hawks are 5-15 against the spread.
- The Heat are 10-15 as 1.5-point underdogs or greater.
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Pick OU:
Under (230.5)
- The Hawks’ 57 games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 230.5 points 36 times.
- The Heat have played 21 games this season that ended with a point total higher than 230.5 points.
- Atlanta has an average point total of 234.7 in its outings this year, 4.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- Miami has a 219.2-point average over/under in its outings this season, 11.3 fewer points than this game’s total.
- The Hawks are the seventh-highest scoring team in the league this year. The Heat have scored the 27th-most points.
- This outing features the league’s third-ranked (Heat) and 29th-ranked (Hawks) scoring defenses.
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Moneyline Pick: Hawks (-120)
- The Hawks have been favorites in 19 games this season and won nine (47.4%) of those contests.
- The Heat have won in eight, or 33.3%, of the 24 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
- Atlanta has a record of 9-10, a 47.4% win rate, when it’s favored by -120 or more by bookmakers this season.
- This season, Miami has come away with a win six times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Hawks have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
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