Tuesday’s game that pits the No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide (22-5, 11-3 SEC) versus the No. 24 Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-8, 7-7 SEC) at Coleman Coliseum has a good chance to be a lopsided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 86-76 in favor of Alabama, who is heavily favored by our model. Tipoff is at 9:00 PM ET on February 25.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama is projected to cover the spread (8.5) versus Mississippi State. The two sides are projected to fall short of the 169.5 over/under.

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, February 25, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
• Venue: Coleman Coliseum
• Line: Alabama -8.5
• Point total: 169.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama -365, Mississippi State +285

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama 86, Mississippi State 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Alabama (-8.5)
• Pick OU: Under (169.5)

Alabama has a 15-12-0 record against the spread this season compared to Mississippi State, who is 12-15-0 ATS. The Crimson Tide have a 16-11-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Bulldogs have a record of 15-12-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score an average of 170.1 points per game, 0.6 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 contests, Alabama has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall. Mississippi State has gone 3-7 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide average 90.8 points per game (first in college basketball) while giving up 80.4 per outing (350th in college basketball). They have a +281 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 10.4 points per game.
• Alabama is second in the country at 39.8 rebounds per game. That’s 7.5 more than the 32.3 its opponents average.
• Alabama connects on 10.2 three-pointers per game (20th in college basketball) at a 34.2% rate (163rd in college basketball), compared to the 7.2 per game its opponents make at a 30.4% rate.
• The Crimson Tide rank 20th in college basketball by averaging 104.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 160th in college basketball, allowing 92.5 points per 100 possessions.
• Alabama has come up short in the turnover battle by 2.7 turnovers per game, committing 12.6 (301st in college basketball play) while forcing 9.9 (320th in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs have a +200 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.4 points per game. They’re putting up 79.3 points per game, 57th in college basketball, and are allowing 71.9 per outing to rank 184th in college basketball.
• Mississippi State is 25th in the country at 35.9 rebounds per game. That’s 3.8 more than the 32.1 its opponents average.
• Mississippi State connects on 8.4 three-pointers per game (106th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.9 on average.
• Mississippi State wins the turnover battle by 2.7 per game, committing 10.2 (77th in college basketball) while its opponents average 12.9.

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