Missouri vs. Alabama Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 19

Published 7:08 pm Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Wednesday’s contest between the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (21-4, 10-2 SEC) and No. 15 Missouri Tigers (19-6, 8-4 SEC) matching up at Mizzou Arena has a projected final score of 81-79 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Alabama, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will start at 9:00 PM ET on February 19.

Based on our computer prediction, Alabama is projected to cover the spread (1.5) against Missouri. The two teams are expected to come in below the 170.5 over/under.

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Missouri vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 19, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: SEC Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Columbia, Missouri
  • Venue: Mizzou Arena
  • Line: Missouri -1.5
  • Point total: 170.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Missouri -111, Alabama -108

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Missouri vs. Alabama Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Alabama 81, Missouri 79

Spread & Total Prediction for Missouri vs. Alabama

  • Pick ATS: Alabama (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (170.5)

Missouri’s record against the spread so far this season is 15-9-0, and Alabama’s is 14-11-0. The Tigers have hit the over in 12 games, while Crimson Tide games have gone over 15 times. The two teams score 172.9 points per game, 2.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Missouri has an 8-2 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in the past 10 contests. Alabama has gone 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Missouri Performance Insights

  • The Tigers outscore opponents by 13.6 points per game (scoring 82.6 points per game to rank 20th in college basketball while allowing 69 per outing to rank 96th in college basketball) and have a +341 scoring differential overall.
  • Missouri prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 2.1 boards. It is grabbing 31.9 rebounds per game (188th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.8 per contest.
  • Missouri connects on 8.8 three-pointers per game (77th in college basketball), 1.6 more than its opponents (7.2).
  • The Tigers score 106.1 points per 100 possessions (12th in college basketball), while giving up 88.6 points per 100 possessions (81st in college basketball).
  • Missouri has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 10.2 per game (75th in college basketball action) while forcing 13.9 (28th in college basketball).

Alabama Performance Insights

  • The Crimson Tide have a +280 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.2 points per game. They’re putting up 90.3 points per game, first in college basketball, and are allowing 79.1 per outing to rank 337th in college basketball.
  • The 40.4 rebounds per game Alabama accumulates rank second in the nation, 7.9 more than the 32.5 its opponents collect.
  • Alabama connects on 10 three-pointers per game (25th in college basketball), three more than its opponents. It shoots 33.9% from beyond the arc (183rd in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 29.8%.
  • Alabama has committed 12.4 turnovers per game (280th in college basketball), 2.6 more than the 9.8 it forces (325th in college basketball).

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