Alabama vs. Missouri Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 19

Published 7:08 pm Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Wednesday’s game features the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (21-4, 10-2 SEC) and the No. 15 Missouri Tigers (19-6, 8-4 SEC) facing off at Mizzou Arena in what is expected to be a tight matchup, with a projected 82-79 victory for Alabama according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 9:00 PM ET on February 19.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama should cover the spread, which is currently listed at 1.5. The two sides are projected to come in below the 170.5 over/under.

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Alabama vs. Missouri Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 19, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: SEC Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Columbia, Missouri
  • Venue: Mizzou Arena
  • Line: Alabama -1.5
  • Point total: 170.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Alabama -120, Missouri +100

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Alabama vs. Missouri Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Alabama 82, Missouri 79

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Missouri

  • Pick ATS: Alabama (-1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (170.5)

Alabama has put together a 14-11-0 record against the spread this season, while Missouri is 15-9-0. The Crimson Tide are 15-10-0 and the Tigers are 12-12-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams score 172.9 points per game, 2.4 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Alabama is 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall while Missouri has gone 8-2 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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Alabama Performance Insights

  • The Crimson Tide are outscoring opponents by 11.2 points per game with a +280 scoring differential overall. They put up 90.3 points per game (first in college basketball) and give up 79.1 per contest (337th in college basketball).
  • Alabama is second in the country at 40.4 rebounds per game. That’s 7.9 more than the 32.5 its opponents average.
  • Alabama makes 10 three-pointers per game (25th in college basketball) at a 33.9% rate (183rd in college basketball), compared to the 7 per game its opponents make at a 29.8% rate.
  • The Crimson Tide rank 27th in college basketball with 103.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 129th in college basketball defensively with 91 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Alabama has lost the turnover battle on average this season, committing 12.4 per game (281st in college basketball play) while forcing 9.8 (325th in college basketball).

Missouri Performance Insights

  • The Tigers put up 82.6 points per game (20th in college basketball) while giving up 69 per contest (95th in college basketball). They have a +341 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 13.6 points per game.
  • Missouri wins the rebound battle by 2.1 boards on average. It collects 31.9 rebounds per game, 189th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 29.8.
  • Missouri makes 8.8 three-pointers per game (78th in college basketball), 1.6 more than its opponents. It shoots 37.1% from beyond the arc (43rd in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 33.6%.
  • Missouri has committed 10.2 turnovers per game (75th in college basketball), 3.7 fewer than the 13.9 it forces (28th in college basketball).

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