Alabama vs. Texas Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 11
Published 7:13 pm Monday, February 10, 2025
Tuesday’s contest that pits the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (20-3, 9-1 SEC) versus the Texas Longhorns (15-9, 4-7 SEC) at Moody Center has a projected final score of 81-76 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Alabama, who is a small favorite in this matchup according to our model. Tipoff is at 9:00 PM ET on February 11.
Based on our computer prediction, Alabama is projected to cover the point spread (4.5) against Texas. The two sides are projected to come in below the 165.5 over/under.
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Alabama vs. Texas Game Info & Odds
- Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Austin, Texas
- Venue: Moody Center
- Line: Alabama -4.5
- Point total: 165.5
- Moneyline (to win): Alabama -196, Texas +162
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Alabama vs. Texas Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Alabama 81, Texas 76
Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Texas
- Pick ATS: Alabama (-4.5)
- Pick OU: Under (165.5)
Alabama has compiled a 13-10-0 record against the spread this season, while Texas is 13-11-0. The Crimson Tide have a 13-10-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Longhorns have a record of 14-10-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams combine to score 168.5 points per game, 3.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, Alabama has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall. Texas has gone 6-4 against the spread and 4-6 overall in its last 10 matches.
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Alabama Performance Insights
- The Crimson Tide average 90 points per game (first in college basketball) while allowing 78.4 per contest (330th in college basketball). They have a +266 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 11.6 points per game.
- Alabama prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 7.7 boards. It is grabbing 40.4 rebounds per game (third in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.7 per contest.
- Alabama connects on 10 three-pointers per game (27th in college basketball) while shooting 33.4% from beyond the arc (215th in college basketball). It is making 3.2 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 6.8 per game while shooting 29%.
- The Crimson Tide rank 31st in college basketball by averaging 103.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 117th in college basketball, allowing 89.9 points per 100 possessions.
- Alabama has lost the turnover battle by 2.4 turnovers per game, committing 12.6 (295th in college basketball play) while forcing 10.2 (301st in college basketball).
Texas Performance Insights
- The Longhorns are outscoring opponents by 11 points per game, with a +264 scoring differential overall. They put up 78.5 points per game (77th in college basketball) and give up 67.5 per contest (61st in college basketball).
- Texas is 134th in college basketball at 33 rebounds per game. That’s 2.7 more than the 30.3 its opponents average.
- Texas connects on 1.1 more threes per contest than the opposition, 7.7 (178th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.6.
- Texas has come up on top in the turnover battle by 1.9 per game, committing 9.2 (17th in college basketball) while forcing 11.1 (227th in college basketball).
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