Sunday’s game at Humphrey Coliseum has the No. 23 Alabama Crimson Tide (19-5) taking on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-7) at 2:00 PM ET (on February 9). Our computer prediction projects a close 71-68 victory for Alabama, so it should be a competitive matchup.

Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi State is projected to cover the spread (2.5) against Alabama. The two teams are projected to fall short of the 141.5 total.

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Sunday, February 9, 2025
• Time: 2:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Alabama -2.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama -145, Mississippi State +120

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama 71, Mississippi State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (141.5)

Alabama is 10-7-0 against the spread this season compared to Mississippi State’s 2-6-0 ATS record. A total of seven out of the Crimson Tide’s games this season have hit the over, and four of the Bulldogs’ games have gone over. The two teams score 155.7 points per game, 14.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Alabama has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. Mississippi State has gone 2-6 against the spread and 2-6 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide average 78.4 points per game (26th in college basketball) while giving up 60.8 per outing (101st in college basketball). They have a +424 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 17.6 points per game.
• Alabama averages 35 rebounds per game (71st in college basketball) while conceding 30.9 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.1 boards per game.
• Alabama makes 8.5 three-pointers per game (25th in college basketball) while shooting 37.9% from deep (seventh-best in college basketball). It is making 3.3 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 5.2 per game while shooting 28.5%.
• The Crimson Tide’s 94.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 35th in college basketball, and the 73.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 44th in college basketball.
• Alabama has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 13.7 per game (70th in college basketball action) while forcing 16.6 (125th in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs’ +371 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 77.3 points per game (33rd in college basketball) while allowing 61.8 per contest (121st in college basketball).
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by an average of 9.9 boards. It pulls down 38.5 rebounds per game (eighth in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.6.
• Mississippi State makes 7 three-pointers per game (100th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.6 on average.
• Mississippi State has committed 16.5 turnovers per game (246th in college basketball) while forcing 16.1 (149th in college basketball).

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