Samford vs. East Tennessee State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 8

Published 7:15 pm Friday, February 7, 2025

Saturday’s contest between the Samford Bulldogs (19-5, 9-2 SoCon) and East Tennessee State Buccaneers (14-10, 7-4 SoCon) matching up at Freedom Hall Civic Center has a projected final score of 75-74 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Samford, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will start at 4:00 PM ET on February 8.

According to our computer prediction, East Tennessee State is a good bet to cover the spread, which is listed at 1.5. The two sides are projected to come in below the 149.5 total.

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Samford vs. East Tennessee State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, February 8, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Johnson City, Tennessee
  • Venue: Freedom Hall Civic Center
  • Line: Samford -1.5
  • Point total: 149.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Samford -114, East Tennessee State -105

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Samford vs. East Tennessee State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Samford 75, East Tennessee State 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Samford vs. East Tennessee State

  • Pick ATS: East Tennessee State (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (149.5)

Samford has compiled a 12-10-0 record against the spread this season, while East Tennessee State is 10-11-0. The Bulldogs have gone over the point total in eight games, while Buccaneers games have gone over nine times. The two teams score an average of 157.7 points per game, 8.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Samford is 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall while East Tennessee State has gone 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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Samford Performance Insights

  • The Bulldogs are outscoring opponents by 11.4 points per game with a +274 scoring differential overall. They put up 84.4 points per game (12th in college basketball) and allow 73 per outing (231st in college basketball).
  • The 32.2 rebounds per game Samford averages rank 188th in the country. Its opponents collect 31.6 per outing.
  • Samford connects on 11.3 three-pointers per game (third-most in college basketball) while shooting 38.1% from beyond the arc (22nd in college basketball). It is making 3.4 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 7.9 per game while shooting 32.3%.
  • The Bulldogs rank 44th in college basketball with 102.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 78th in college basketball defensively with 88.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Samford has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 12.8 per game (307th in college basketball play) while forcing 15.1 (11th in college basketball).

East Tennessee State Performance Insights

  • The Buccaneers outscore opponents by 6.5 points per game (posting 73.3 points per game, 209th in college basketball, and allowing 66.8 per contest, 52nd in college basketball) and have a +157 scoring differential.
  • East Tennessee State is 62nd in college basketball at 34.6 rebounds per game. That’s four more than the 30.6 its opponents average.
  • East Tennessee State makes 2.0 more threes per contest than the opposition, 8.8 (87th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8.
  • East Tennessee State has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 10.3 per game (82nd in college basketball) while forcing 12.6 (95th in college basketball).

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