The Atlanta Hawks (16-15) host the Miami Heat (15-13) in a matchup of Southeast Division teams at State Farm Arena, beginning at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, December 28, 2024. The Hawks are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

• Prediction: –
  Heat 115 – Hawks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (225.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 228.3

• The Heat’s .500 ATS win percentage (14-14-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Hawks’ .419 mark (13-18-0 ATS Record) in 2024-25.
• When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, Atlanta (3-10) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (23.1%) than Miami (4-4) does as the underdog (50%).
• Atlanta and its opponents have eclipsed the total 64.5% of the time this season (20 out of 31). That’s more often than Miami and its opponents have (15 out of 28).
• As a moneyline favorite this season, the Hawks are 7-7, a better mark than the Heat have posted (4-7) as moneyline underdogs.

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Hawks Performance Insights

• The Hawks rank seventh in the NBA with 117.2 points per contest, but their defense has been less effective, giving up 119.5 points per game (fourth-worst in league).
• Atlanta ranks fourth-best in the NBA by pulling down 46 rebounds per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 16th in the league (44 allowed per contest).
• With 29.7 dimes per game, the Hawks rank third-best in the league in the category.
• Although Atlanta is averaging 15.8 turnovers per game (fourth-worst in NBA), it ranks fifth-best in the league by forcing 15.9 turnovers per contest.
• This season, the Hawks are draining 12.6 treys per game (19th-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 35.1% (18th-ranked) from downtown.

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Heat Performance Insights

• Offensively the Heat are the 18th-ranked squad in the NBA (111.3 points per game). Defensively they are sixth (108.6 points allowed per game).
• Miami is 19th in the league in rebounds per game (43.3) and 24th in rebounds allowed (45.2).
• With 25.6 assists per game, the Heat are 14th in the league.
• In 2024-25, Miami is fifth-best in the NBA in turnovers committed (12.5 per game) and ranked 10th in turnovers forced (14.4).
• The Heat make 14.6 3-pointers per game and shoot 37.8% from beyond the arc, ranking ninth and sixth, respectively, in the NBA.

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