A victory by the Washington Commanders over the Atlanta Falcons is our computer model prediction for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Dec. 29 at 8:20 p.m. ET (at Commanders Field). For a full breakdown, including the spread, over/under and final score, keep scrolling.

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Offensively, the Commanders have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by totaling 373.5 yards per game. They rank 10th on defense (322.9 yards allowed per game). The Falcons are accumulating 21.8 points per contest on offense this season (17th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 23.3 points per contest (20th-ranked) on defense.

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Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 39.2% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
• Atlanta is 6-8-1 ATS this season.
• The Falcons have covered the spread once this year (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
• Atlanta and its opponent have combined to hit the over five out of 15 times this season.
• The over/under for this game is 0.5 points higher than the average scoring total for Falcons games (postseason included) of 46.

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Commanders Betting Info

• Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Commanders’ implied win probability is 65.5%.
• Washington is 9-6-0 ATS this season.
• The Commanders are 3-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• A total of 10 out of 15 Washington games this season have hit the over.
• The over/under in this game is 46.5 points, 0.4 higher than the average total in Commanders games this season.

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Falcons vs. Commanders 2024 Scoring Insights

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