Alabama vs. Arkansas State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 8

Published 7:09 pm Thursday, November 7, 2024

Friday’s game at Coleman Coliseum has the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0) going head to head against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-0) at 8:00 PM ET (on November 8). Our computer prediction projects a close 81-78 win for Alabama, so expect a competitive matchup.

Based on our computer prediction, Arkansas State is a good bet to cover the spread, which currently sits at 22.5. The two teams are projected to come in below the 166.5 total.

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Alabama vs. Arkansas State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, November 8, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV: SEC Network+
  • Where: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
  • Venue: Coleman Coliseum
  • Line: Alabama -22.5
  • Point total: 166.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Alabama -7143, Arkansas State +2000

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Alabama vs. Arkansas State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Alabama 81, Arkansas State 78

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Arkansas State

  • Pick ATS: Arkansas State (+22.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (166.5)

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Alabama Performance Insights

  • Alabama was the best team in the country in points scored (90.1 per game) but third-worst in points conceded (81.2) last year.
  • On the boards, the Crimson Tide were 25th-best in the country in rebounds (36.0 per game) last year. They were 205th in rebounds allowed (32.0 per game).
  • With 15.7 assists per game last season, Alabama was 37th in the country.
  • The Crimson Tide were the second-best team in the nation in 3-pointers made (11.2 per game) and 20th-best in 3-point percentage (37.3%) last year.
  • Last season, Alabama was 204th in the country in 3-pointers conceded (7.5 per game) and 64th in defensive 3-point percentage (31.7%).
  • The Crimson Tide took 46.5% percent of their shots from beyond the arc last season, and 36.4% of their made shots are from there. Inside the arc, they took 53.5% of their shots, with 63.6% of their makes coming from there.

Arkansas State Performance Insights

  • Offensively, Arkansas State posted 78.8 points per game (52nd-ranked in college basketball) last season. It ceded 77.0 points per contest at the other end (313th-ranked).
  • With 35.4 rebounds per game, the Red Wolves ranked 43rd in college basketball. They gave up 31.9 rebounds per contest, which ranked 197th in college basketball.
  • Arkansas State dished out 14.5 assists per game, which ranked them 93rd in the country.
  • The Red Wolves were 114th in college basketball with 10.6 turnovers per game last year. Meanwhile, they ranked 323rd with 9.6 forced turnovers per contest.
  • With 9.2 three-pointers per game, the Red Wolves ranked 32nd in the country. They had a 34.4% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranked 156th in college basketball.
  • Arkansas State ranked 13th-best in the country by allowing 5.7 treys per game. In terms of three-point percentage allowed, it ranked 285th in college basketball at 35.2%.
  • Arkansas State took 57.2% two-pointers and 42.8% from beyond the arc last season. Of the team’s baskets, 66.6% were two-pointers and 33.4% were three-pointers.

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